Question

When we encounter a highly unusual event, we are particularly likely to notice and consider the event. As a consequence: A) we are likely to think about how distinctive the event really is, leading us to underestimate the likelihood of this type of event. B) we are likely to think about the event as being in its own special category, so the event will have little impact on our estimates of frequency. C) the event will be easy to recall, leading us to overestimate the likelihood of this type of event. D) the event will be difficult to recall, leading us to underestimate the likelihood of this type of event.

Answer 1

When we encounter a highly unusual event, we are particularly likely to notice and consider the event. As a consequence the event will be easy to recall, leading us to overestimate the likelihood of this type of event.

Judgemental heuristics are fundamentals or methods for making probability assessments or judgements easier. These heuristics are frequently very useful, but they can also lead to methodological problems. When we encounter a highly unusual event, we are more likely to notice and reflect on it. As a result, the event will be simple to recall, supposed to lead us to overestimate the likelihood of such an occurrence.

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