The answer is ... 16 I think
A vernacular region may also be called a perceptual region.
In stage 1 the two rates are balanced. In stage 2 they diverge , as the death rate falls relative to the birth rate. In stage 3 they converge again, as the birth rate falls relative to the death rate. Finally in stage 4 the death and birth rates are balanced again but at a much lower level.
