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sasho [114]
3 years ago
15

A high-tech company wants to estimate the mean number of years of college education its employees have completed. A sample of 15

employees had a mean of 4 years with a standard deviation of .7 years. Find a 95% confidence interval for the true mean.
Mathematics
1 answer:
valentinak56 [21]3 years ago
4 0

Answer:

4 - 2.14 \frac{0.7}{\sqrt{15}}=3.61

4 + 2.14 \frac{0.7}{\sqrt{15}}=4.39

The 95% confidence interval is given by (3.61;4.39)

Step-by-step explanation:

Notation and definitions

n=15 represent the sample size

\bar X=4 represent the sample mean  

s=0.7 represent the sample standard deviation

m represent the margin of error

A confidence interval is "a range of values that’s likely to include a population value with a certain degree of confidence. It is often expressed a % whereby a population means lies between an upper and lower interval".  

The margin of error is the range of values below and above the sample statistic in a confidence interval.  

Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean".  

Calculate the critical value tc

In order to find the critical value is important to mention that we don't know about the population standard deviation, so on this case we need to use the t distribution. Since our interval is at 95% of confidence, our significance level would be given by \alpha=1-0.95=0.05 and \alpha/2 =0.025. The degrees of freedom are given by:  

df=n-1=15-1=14  

We can find the critical values in excel using the following formulas:  

"=T.INV(0.025,14)" for t_{\alpha/2}=-2.14  

"=T.INV(1-0.025,14)" for t_{1-\alpha/2}=2.14  

The critical value tc=\pm 2.14

Calculate the margin of error (m)

The margin of error for the sample mean is given by this formula:

m=t_c \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}

m=2.14 \frac{0.7}{\sqrt{15}}=0.387

Calculate the confidence interval  

The interval for the mean is given by this formula:

\bar X \pm t_{c} \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}

And calculating the limits we got:

4 - 2.14 \frac{0.7}{\sqrt{15}}=3.61

4 + 2.14 \frac{0.7}{\sqrt{15}}=4.39

The 95% confidence interval is given by (3.61;4.39)

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A standardized test consists of 100 multiple-choice questions. Each question has five possible answers, only one of which is cor
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Answer:

a) S ~ N ( 0 , 48 )

b) P ( S > 10 ) = 0.0745

Step-by-step explanation:

Given:-

- We have n = 100 MCQs

- 5 options for every MCQs

- probability to guess each MCQ correct is independent from one another.

- Right Answer points= +4

- Wrong answer points= -1

Find:-

a) Find ????(S).

b) Find P(S>10). Write your answer as a math expression, then use the code cell below to find its numerical value and provide it along with your math expression.

Solution:-

- The probability (p) of guessing a correct answer for each question is:

                             p ( correct answer ) = 1 / 5 = 0.2

- The mean number of correct and incorrect answers can be determined by:

                             ( Mean correct answers) = n*p = 100*0.2 = 20

                             ( Mean incorrect answers) = n*(1-p) = 100*0.8 = 80

- The mean score for correct answers would be:

                            Sc ( u ) = (Points for right answer)*(Mean correct answers)

                            Sc ( u ) = ( +4 )*(20)

                            Sc ( u ) = 80 points

The mean score for incorrect answers would be:

                            Si ( u ) = (Points for wrong answer)*(Mean incorrect answers)

                            Si ( u ) = ( -1)*(80)

                            Si ( u ) = -80 points.

- The mean score attained by a student would be S (u):

                           S (u) = Sc(u) + Si(u)

                           S (u) = 80 - 80 = 0

- The variance of the correct and incorrect answers can be determined by:

                           Var ( correct answers ) = n*p*q = 100*0.2*0.8 = 16

                           Var ( in-correct answers ) = n*p*q = 100*0.2*0.8 = 16

- The variance of points of correct answers can be:

                           Sc (Var) = Var ( correct answer ) * (Points for right answer)

                           Sc (Var) = 16*(+4) = +64 points

- The variance of points of incorrect answers can be:    

                          Si (Var) = Var ( incorrect answer ) * (Points for wrong answer)

                          Si (Var) = 16*(-1) = -16 points  

- Since the probabilities of guessing correct answers are independent. Then as per law of independence:

                         S ( Var ) =  Sc (Var) + Si (Var)

                                       = 64 - 16

                                       = +48 points

- The standard deviation for the distribution (s.d) of points (S) is:

                         S ( s.d ) = √S (Var)  = √48 = 6.9282            

- The number of points (S) attained by a student by guessing on the test containing MCQs would have a mean u = 0 points and s.d = + 48 points.

- The random variable (S) can be modeled by normal distribution as follows:

                         S ~ N ( 0 , 48 )      

- To find the required probability P(S>10).

Compute the Z-value of S = 10 points:

                        Z - value =  ( S - u ) / s.d

                                        =  ( 10 - 0 ) / 6.9282

                                        = 1.4434

Use the standardized Z-table for normal distribution:

                       P ( Z > 1.4434 ) = 0.0745

The probability is:

                       P ( S > 10 ) = P ( Z > 1.4434 ) = 0.0745

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3 years ago
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