The answer would be three. this is because a prediction is a guess on the future/event. a fragment is not a complete sentence. which means the answer would be three. hope this helps! :)
The third one, it’s the most detailed one and actually gives an explanation on the topic
Could you put a better picture of the tiles, i can't see them well
If it's just a random thesis:
Topic: Dog Fights
Thesis: Dog fights should be illegal, since they are a cruel way to abuse dogs for profit.
Opposing Thesis: Dog fights are entartaining, and should be continued.
I think you will do great if you use my answer I gave you earlier.