Answer:
Conjunction Fallacy
Explanation:
The Conjunction Fallacy is a formal fallacy when one uses evidence that a combination-- or conjunction-- of two possible events are more likely than one of the other events. The speaker only uses two events: "...that the Yankes lose the first game of the series, or that they lose the first game and come back to win?" <em>and </em>combines the two in the latter pondering.
The Base Rate Fallacy is a paradox that explains situations where there is more than one false factoid of evidence. The speaker doesn't address false evidence and decide upon it, so this can't be the answer.
The fallacy (law) of small numbers is an informal fallacy when one reaches a decision based on insufficient evidence. While it's true that the speaker doesn't have enough evidence, they also don't have any-- thence the answer is the Conjunction Fallacy.
The Regression to the Mean fallacy is an informal fallacy when one explains something by its probabilistic nature-- not based on evidence. The speaker explains that they simply "...expect the Yankees to win the series, so [they'll] take the second choice."
The correct answer would be "begin". The complete sentence is: We begin each day with a walk around the block. We used the present form of the verb "begin" because the sentence indicates a habitual action because of the words "each day". A present form of the verb is used when the action is done in the present time, states a fact, or shows a habitual action.
Here are some examples:
-the stress of being someone they're not
-social media getting in their way
-peer pressure
-culture being dissed upon
For your question, it is needed cite it. So the answer is Yes. The quotation should be followed by the author's name and a page reference in parentheses. It is for you to give credit to the author and to avoid from getting a plagiarized work.
