Question

15. Suppose a box of 30 light bulbs contains 4 defective ones. If 5 bulbs are to be removed out of the box.

Answer 1

Answer:

1) Probability that all five are good = 0.46

2) P(at most 2 defective) = 0.99

3) Pr(at least 1 defective) = 0.54

Step-by-step explanation:

The total number of bulbs = 30

Number of defective bulbs = 4

Number of good bulbs = 30 - 4 = 26

Number of ways of selecting 5 bulbs from 30 bulbs = $30C5 = \frac{30 !}{(30-5)!5!}$

$30C5 = 142506$ ways

Number of ways of selecting 5 good bulbs  from 26 bulbs = $26C5 = \frac{26 !}{(26-5)!5!}$

$26C5 = 65780$ ways

Probability that all five are good = 65780/142506

Probability that all five are good = 0.46

2) probability that at most two bulbs are defective = Pr(no defective) + Pr(1 defective) + Pr(2 defective)

Pr(no defective) has been calculated above = 0.46

Pr(1 defective) = $\frac{26C4 * 4C1}{30C5}$

Pr(1 defective) = (14950*4)/142506

Pr(1 defective) =0.42

Pr(2 defective) =  $\frac{26C3 * 4C2}{30C5}$

Pr(2 defective) = (2600 *6)/142506

Pr(2 defective) = 0.11

P(at most 2 defective) = 0.46 + 0.42 + 0.11

P(at most 2 defective) = 0.99

3) Probability that at least one bulb is defective = Pr(1 defective) +  Pr(2 defective) +  Pr(3 defective) +  Pr(4 defective)

Pr(1 defective) =0.42

Pr(2 defective) = 0.11

Pr(3 defective) =  $\frac{26C2 * 4C3}{30C5}$

Pr(3 defective) = 0.009

Pr(4 defective) =  $\frac{26C1 * 4C4}{30C5}$

Pr(4 defective) = 0.00018

Pr(at least 1 defective) = 0.42 + 0.11 + 0.009 + 0.00018

Pr(at least 1 defective) = 0.54