Using the binomial distribution, it is found that:
The probability that the student will get 15 correct questions in this test by guessing is 0.0207 = 2.07%.
For each question, there are only two possible outcomes, either the guess is correct, or it is not. The guess on a question is independent of any other question, hence, the binomial distribution is used to solve this question.
Binomial probability distribution
The parameters are:
x is the number of successes.
n is the number of trials.
p is the probability of a success on a single trial.
In this problem:
There are 20 questions, hence .
Each question has 2 options, one of which is correct, hence
The probability is:
In which:
Then:
The probability that the student will get 15 correct questions in this test by guessing is 0.0207 = 2.07%.