the probability is reliant on multiple factors. for example, if you were to play a game of dice and could win if you rolled a 4 or a 2, the probability of you winning is 2/6 because you have 2 numbers you would win on but 6 in total you could land on. for a card game, this would be different. in a deck of cards, there are on average 4 of each number and suit (not including king/queen/jack/joker) and 52 cards in total. because of the multiple outcomes, the probability is divided into 3 parts. 1 being you pulling a specific number out of all numbers available in one suit (1/10 not including king/queen/jack/joker), 2 being pulling a specific suit out of all suits available (1/4), and 3 being pulling a specific number AND suit out of all cards available (??/52)
I would say it's the Historian because they study history or the past and have to interpret it so they can figure out how to teach it or stop it from happening again.