Answer:
a) 99% of the sample means will fall between 0.933 and 0.941.
b) By the Central Limit Theorem, approximately normal, with mean 0.937 and standard deviation 0.0015.
Step-by-step explanation:
To solve this question, we need to understand the normal probability distribution and the central limit theorem.
Normal Probability Distribution:
Problems of normal distributions can be solved using the z-score formula.
In a set with mean
and standard deviation
, the zscore of a measure X is given by:
![Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=Z%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7BX%20-%20%5Cmu%7D%7B%5Csigma%7D)
The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the pvalue, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.
Central Limit Theorem
The Central Limit Theorem estabilishes that, for a normally distributed random variable X, with mean
and standard deviation
, the sampling distribution of the sample means with size n can be approximated to a normal distribution with mean
and standard deviation
.
For a skewed variable, the Central Limit Theorem can also be applied, as long as n is at least 30.
(a) If the true mean is 0.9370 with a standard deviation of 0.0090 within what interval will 99% of the sample means fail?
Samples of 34 means that ![n = 34](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=n%20%3D%2034)
We have that ![\mu = 0.937, \sigma = 0.009](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=%5Cmu%20%3D%200.937%2C%20%5Csigma%20%3D%200.009)
By the Central Limit Theorem, ![s = \frac{0.009}{\sqrt{34}} = 0.0015](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=s%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7B0.009%7D%7B%5Csqrt%7B34%7D%7D%20%3D%200.0015)
Within what interval will 99% of the sample means fail?
Between the (100-99)/2 = 0.5th percentile and the (100+99)/2 = 99.5th percentile.
0.5th percentile:
X when Z has a pvalue of 0.005. So X when Z = -2.575.
![Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=Z%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7BX%20-%20%5Cmu%7D%7B%5Csigma%7D)
By the Central Limit Theorem
![Z = \frac{X - \mu}{s}](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=Z%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7BX%20-%20%5Cmu%7D%7Bs%7D)
![-2.575 = \frac{X - 0.937}{0.0015}](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=-2.575%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7BX%20-%200.937%7D%7B0.0015%7D)
![X - 0.937 = -2.575*0.0015](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=X%20-%200.937%20%3D%20-2.575%2A0.0015)
![X = 0.933](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=X%20%3D%200.933)
99.5th percentile:
X when Z has a pvalue of 0.995. So X when Z = 2.575.
![Z = \frac{X - \mu}{s}](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=Z%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7BX%20-%20%5Cmu%7D%7Bs%7D)
![2.575 = \frac{X - 0.937}{0.0015}](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=2.575%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7BX%20-%200.937%7D%7B0.0015%7D)
![X - 0.937 = 2.575*0.0015](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=X%20-%200.937%20%3D%202.575%2A0.0015)
![X = 0.941](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=X%20%3D%200.941)
99% of the sample means will fall between 0.933 and 0.941.
(b) If the true mean 0.9370 with a standard deviation of 0.0090, what is the sampling distribution of ¯X?
By the Central Limit Theorem, approximately normal, with mean 0.937 and standard deviation 0.0015.