The Mandate of Heaven is a Chinese political and religious doctrine to justify the rule of the King or Emperor of China. According to this belief, <em>Heaven</em> bestows a mandate on the ruler of China. However, if he was overthrown, or if natural disasters occurred, this was considered an indication that the ruler had lost the mandate. Therefore, civilian rebellions were accepted as part of the cycle. The cycle had the following pattern:
- A New Dynasty Rises
- A New Dynasty Rules
- Mandate of Heaven Lost by the Dynasty
- The Dynasty Grows Weak
- Period of Violence Follows
According to Chinese citizens, a new dynasty would rise and become powerful. This would lead them to rule as long as they received the mandate of heaven. However, if heaven was displeased with the ruler, the dynasty would lose its mandate. As a consequence, China would experience natural disasters, rebellions and the weakening of the dynasty. A period of violence and rebellion on the part of the citizens would follow, until a different dynasty arose from the chaos and became the ruling dynasty and the cycle continued.
The estimate-talk-estimate approach (ETE), commonly known as the Delphi method, is a structured and qualitative method of forecasting that involves asking a group of experts a series of questions to elicit their thoughts. The Delphi method depends on experts who are educated about a certain subject in order for them to make predictions about the outcomes of hypothetical future scenarios, assess the possibility of an event, or come to an agreement on a given subject.
The Delphi method approach entails a number of rounds of written questionnaires that invite expert input. Following the completion of each set of questionnaires by the experts, the facilitator compiles all the responses and provides a summary report of the results to each expert. The experts next go over the summary report and decide whether they concur with the other experts' responses or not.
The experts then complete a second questionnaire that allows them to express updated perspectives based on what they have learned from the summary report. The estimate-talk-estimate approach (ETE), commonly known as the Delphi method, is a structured and qualitative method of forecasting that involves asking a group When a forecast consensus is reached, the Delphi process is finished.
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The same evidence that shows both a man and a woman commited theft. Both the man and woman are guilty.
