Question

Players at carnival game win about 30% of the time. Based on your simulation, what is the experimental probability that the next four players will win

Answer 1

To have the next four players win, we would need to have the 30% chance to win occur four times in a row. This means that we should multiply the probability of success by itself the number of times we want a win to occur:
$P=\frac{3}{10}*\frac{3}{10}*\frac{3}{10}*\frac{3}{10}=\frac{81}{10000}=0.0081$