Question

is flipped ten times, and he is asked to predict in advance the outcome. Our individual gets seven out of ten correct. What is the probability he would have done at least this well if he had no ESP

Answer 1

The required probability is 0.171.

What is probability?

Probability means possibility. It is a branch of mathematics that deals with the occurrence of a random event. The value is expressed from zero to one.

We can find required Probability as shown:

From 10 coins we choose 7 he guessed correct with probability of each 1/2. For three remaining coins he failed to predict the outcomes of the flip with the probability of 1/2 for each. Similarly for 8,9 or 10 successive trials. Let X denote number of successive trials

$P(X\geq 7)= \tbinom{10}{7}.\frac{1}{2^{10}}+\tbinom{10}{8}.\frac{1}{2^{10}} +\tbinom{10}{9}.\frac{1}{2^{10}}+\tbinom{10}{10}.\frac{1}{2^{10}}$

$=120.\frac{1}{2^{10}} +45.\frac{1}{2^{10}} +10.\frac{1}{2^{10}} +.\frac{1}{2^{10}}$

$=\frac{120+45+10+1}{2^{10}}$

$=\frac{176}{1024}$

=0.171

Hence, the required probability is 0.171.

Learn more about Probability here:

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Given question is incomplete. This is complete question:

A man claims to have extrasensory perception. As a test, a fair coin is flipped 10 times and the man is asked to predict the outcome in advance. He gets 7 out of 10 correct. What is the probability that he would have done at least this well if he had no ESP?