Answer:
The probability tree is;
0.95
0.1 0.05
[ P ]
0.9 0.15
0.85
Step-by-step explanation:
Given the data in the question;
10% of the rugby team members use steroids
so Probability of using steroid; P( use steroid ) = 10% = 0.10
Probability of not using steroid; P( no steroid use ) = 1 - 0.10 = 0.90
Since the test show positive for an athlete who uses steroids, 95% of the time.
Probability of using steroids and testing positive = 95% = 0.95
Probability of using steroids and testing Negative = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
Also from the test, 15% of all steroid-free individuals also test positive.
so
Probability of not using steroids and testing positive = 15% = 0.15
Probability of not using steroids and testing negative = 1 - 0.15 = 0.85
To set up the probability tree, Let;
represent steroid use
represent no steroid use
represent test positive
represent test negative
so we have;
0.95
0.1 0.05
[ P ]
0.9 0.15
0.85