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WINSTONCH [101]
3 years ago
13

At Western University the historical mean of scholarship examination scores for freshman applications is 900. A historical popul

ation standard deviation s=180 is assumed known each year, the assistant dean uses a sample of applications to determine whether the mean examination score for the new freshman applications has changed.- State the hypotheses- What is the 95% confidence interval estimate of the population mean examination score if a sample of 200 applications provided a sample mean of Xbar=935 ?- Use the confidence interval to conduct a hypthesis test. Using a=.05, what is your conclusion ?- What is the p-value ?
Mathematics
1 answer:
dmitriy555 [2]3 years ago
4 0

Answer:

The interval is [910.053; 959.946]

p-value 0.00596

Decision: Reject null hypothesis.

Step-by-step explanation:

Hello!

You need to make a 95% Confidence Interval for the population mean of scholarship examination scores for the freshman.

It is known to be μ= 900 and the assistant dean wants to test if it changed.

The study variable is:

X: -scholarship examination score of one applicant.

population variance is known as σ²= (180)²

Assuming that the variable has a normal distribution the formula for the interval is:

X[bar] ± Z_{1-\alpha /2}*\frac{S}{\sqrt{n} }

935 ± 1.96*\frac{180}{\sqrt{200} }

The interval is [910.053; 959.946]

To test if the examination scores have changed the hypothesis is:

H₀: μ = 900

H₁: μ ≠ 900

α: 0.05

To use a Confidence Interval the following conditions should be met:

1) Both the test and the interval should be made for the same parameter.

2) The hypothesis has to be two_tailed

3) Confidence level 1 - α and significance level α should be complementary.

To make the decision you have to see if the value given to the population mean in the null hypothesis is contained or not by the interval.

If the value is contained by the interval, you do not reject the null hypothesis.

If the value is not contained by the interval, then the decision is to reject the null hypothesis.

Since 900 is not contained by the 95% Confidence interval [910.05; 959.95], the decision is to reject the null hypothesis. This means that the scholarship examination scores of freshman applications have changed.

To calculate the p-value you have to know the value of the statstic under the null hypothesis:

Z= \frac{935-900}{\frac{180}{\sqrt{200} } }= 2.749 ≅ 2.75

p-value is

P(Z<2.75) + P(Z>2.75)= P(Z<2.75) + (1 - P(Z<2.75))= 0.00298+ (1 - 0.9702= 0.00596

I hope it helps!

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P^{3} =\left[\begin{array}{ccc}0.2203&0.7797\\0.2034&0.7966\end{array}\right] X \left[\begin{array}{ccc}0.31&0.69\\0.18&0.82\end{array}\right]

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Transition matrix P raised to the power 4 (at k = 4)

P^{4} =\left[\begin{array}{ccc}0.31&0.69\\0.18&0.82\end{array}\right] X \left[\begin{array}{ccc}0.31&0.69\\0.18&0.82\end{array}\right]X\left[\begin{array}{ccc}0.31&0.69\\0.18&0.82\end{array}\right]X\left[\begin{array}{ccc}0.31&0.69\\0.18&0.82\end{array}\right]

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P^{5} =\left[\begin{array}{ccc}0.2071&0.7929\\0.2068&0.7932\end{array}\right] X \left[\begin{array}{ccc}0.31&0.69\\0.18&0.82\end{array}\right]

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P⁵ at k = 5 both the rows identical. Hence the stationary matrix S is:

S = [ 0.2069 , 0.7931 ]

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