Well, anything that's rotated (turned), reflected (flipped), or translated (moved) is still the same shape of the same size, so the new figures would be congruent with the originals. Dilation, however, is when the shape stays the same but the size changes, so when a figure is dilated, it's not congruent, just similar. 2 out of the 4 are dilated, so those ones would be the answer.
The possible outcomes for the coin is 2 out of 1 since a coin has 2 sides the coin may only land on 1 side but the chances are between both sides having a 50/50 chance to land on either side.