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Virty [35]
3 years ago
8

City of Ann Arbor wishes to form a Green Club, a group of people devoted to green technology. The club is open to all, and enrol

lment is done on rst-come- rst-serve basis. The enrollment stops when there are exactly 5 people who are born on January 1 in the club. Assume that there are always enough people in Ann Arbor who wish to join the club. Let X denote the size of the club. Find the expected value of X. (Assume that there are no leap years).
Mathematics
1 answer:
IgorLugansk [536]3 years ago
6 0

Answer:

1820

Step-by-step explanation:

X the size of the club will follow negative binomial distribution with probability of success p and number of failures r

p = 364/365, r = 5

hence E[x] = pr/(1-p) = 364/365 x 5 /(1/365) = 1820

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bulgar [2K]
Binomial distribution can be used because the situation satisfies all the following conditions:1. Number of trials is known and remains constant (n)2. Each trial is Bernoulli (i.e. exactly two possible outcomes) (success/failure)3. Probability is known and remains constant throughout the trials (p)4. All trials are random and independent of the othersThe number of successes, x, is then given byP(x)=C(n,x)p^x(1-p)^{n-x}whereC(n,x)=\frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!}
Here we're given
p=0.10  [ success = defective ]
n=3

(a) x=0
P(x)=C(n,x)p^x(1-p)^{n-x}
=C(3,0)0.1^0(1-0.1)^{3-0}
=1(1)(0.729)
=0.729

(b) x=2
P(x)=C(n,x)p^x(1-p)^{n-x}
=C(3,2)0.1^2(1-0.1)^{3-2}
=3(0.01)(0.9)
=0.027

(c) x ≥ 2
P(x)=\sum_{x=2}^3C(n,x)p^x(1-p)^{n-x}
=P(2)+P(3)
=C(n,2)p^2(1-p)^{n-2}+C(n,3)p^3(1-p)^{n-3}
=C(3,2)0.1^2(1-0.1)^{3-2}+C(3,3)0.1^3(1-0.1)^{3-3}
=3(0.01)(0.9)+1(0.001)1
=0.027+0.001
=0.028


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