Solve for <span>M</span><span> </span><span>by</span><span> </span><span>simplifying</span><span> </span><span>both sides of the</span><span> </span><span>equation</span><span>, then isolating the</span><span> </span><span>variable</span><span>.</span><span>M=<span>−<span>9</span></span></span>
First two rolls have to be 1-4 that is 2/3 chance twice and the third can be 4or 5 2/3*2/3*1/3 + the chance that the fourth is the 5 or 6. 2/3*2/3*2/3*1/3
So the solution is : P=2/3*2/3*1/3 + 2/3*2/3*2/3*1/3