Question

How would you solve this?

Answer 1

Answer:the probability that a pensioner catches a flu is 0.3 or $\frac{3}{10}$

Step-by-step explanation:

Data:

a) Pensioners who have had a flu jab = $\frac{3}{5}$

b) Pensioners who did not had a flu jab = 1 - $\frac{3}{5}$ = $\frac{2}{5}$

For the first pair of arrows: a is the probability of the upper arrow and b is the probability of the lower arrow.

If pensioner have had a flu jab, the probability of catching flu is $\frac{1}{30}$

Data:

c) Catching flu = $\frac{1}{30}$

d) Not catching flu = 1 - $\frac{1}{30}$ = $\frac{29}{30}$

The second pair of arrows on the top: Top arrow is c and bottom arrow is d

If pensioner did not have a flu jab, the probability of catching flu is $\frac{7}{10}$

Data:

e) Catching flu = $\frac{7}{10}$

f) Not catching flu = 1 - $\frac{7}{10}$ = $\frac{3}{10}$

The second pair of arrows on the bottom: Top arrow is e and bottom arrow is f.

Q) Probability pensioner catches a flu

P(catches the flu given that he had the flu jab) + P(catches the flu given that he did not have the flu jab)

($\frac{3}{5}$ x $\frac{1}{30}$) + ($\frac{2}{5}$ x $\frac{7}{10}$ )

= 0.02 + 0.28

= 0.3

Therefore, the probability that a pensioner catches a flu is 0.3 or $\frac{3}{10}$

Keyword: Probability

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