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LenaWriter [7]
3 years ago
12

An urn contains 5 white and 10 black balls. A fair die is rolled and that number of balls is randomly chosen from the urn. What

is the probability that all of the balls selected are white? What is the conditional probability that the die landed on 3 if all the balls selected are white?
Mathematics
1 answer:
galina1969 [7]3 years ago
7 0

Answer:

Part A:

The probability that all of the balls selected are white:

P(A)=\frac{1}{6}(\frac{1}{3}+\frac{2}{21}+\frac{2}{91}+\frac{1}{273}+\frac{1}{3003}+0)\\      P(A)=\frac{5}{66}=0.075757576

Part B:

The conditional probability that the die landed on 3 if all the balls selected are white:

P(D_3|A)=\frac{\frac{2}{91}*\frac{1}{6}}{\frac{5}{66} } \\P(D_3|A)=\frac{22}{455}=0.0483516

Step-by-step explanation:

A is the event all balls are white.

D_i is the dice outcome.

Sine the die is fair:

P(D_i)=\frac{1}{6} for i∈{1,2,3,4,5,6}

In case of 10 black and 5 white balls:

P(A|D_1)=\frac{5_{C}_1}{15_{C}_1} =\frac{5}{15}=\frac{1}{3}

P(A|D_2)=\frac{5_{C}_2}{15_{C}_2} =\frac{10}{105}=\frac{2}{21}

P(A|D_3)=\frac{5_{C}_3}{15_{C}_3} =\frac{10}{455}=\frac{2}{91}

P(A|D_4)=\frac{5_{C}_4}{15_{C}_4} =\frac{5}{1365}=\frac{1}{273}

P(A|D_5)=\frac{5_{C}_5}{15_{C}_5} =\frac{1}{3003}=\frac{1}{3003}

P(A|D_6)=\frac{5_{C}_6}{15_{C}_6} =0

Part A:

The probability that all of the balls selected are white:

P(A)=\sum^6_{i=1} P(A|D_i)P(D_i)

P(A)=\frac{1}{6}(\frac{1}{3}+\frac{2}{21}+\frac{2}{91}+\frac{1}{273}+\frac{1}{3003}+0)\\      P(A)=\frac{5}{66}=0.075757576

Part B:

The conditional probability that the die landed on 3 if all the balls selected are white:

We have to find P(D_3|A)

The data required is calculated above:

P(D_3|A)=\frac{P(A|D_3)P(D_3)}{P(A)}\\ P(D_3|A)=\frac{\frac{2}{91}*\frac{1}{6}}{\frac{5}{66} } \\P(D_3|A)=\frac{22}{455}=0.0483516

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