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oksano4ka [1.4K]
4 years ago
5

The probability that a random student at Elmville College is a freshman is 0.3; a sophomore, 0.25; and a junior or senior, 0.45.

The probability that a freshman will major in engineering is 0.15; a sophomore, 0.2; and a junior or senior, 0.3. What is the probability that a random student at this college majors in engineering?
Mathematics
1 answer:
Andre45 [30]4 years ago
8 0
Let L_1 denote the event that a student is a freshman, L_2 a sophomore, L_3 a junior, and L_4 a senior.

Let E denote the event that a student majors in engineering. By the law of total probability,

\mathbb P(E)=\mathbb P(E\cap L_1)+\mathbb P(E\cap L_2)+\mathbb P(E\cap L_3)+\mathbb P(E\cap L_4)

By the definition of conditional probability, we can expand each of these intersection probabilities to get

\mathbb P(E)=\mathbb P(E\mid L_1)\mathbb P(L_1)+\mathbb P(E\mid L_2)\mathbb P(L_2)+\mathbb P(E\mid L_3)\mathbb P(L_3)+\mathbb P(E\mid L_4)\mathbb P(L_4)

\mathbb P(E)=0.15\cdot0.3+0.2\cdot0.25+2(0.3\cdot0.45)=0.365
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