I think they use experimental probabilities because experiment probabilities are WAY reliable than theoretical probability
Let x= the usual speed
1500/x would equal how long it usually took the plane to read the destination
1500/(x+100) would equal how long it would take the plane now
So

because it would lose 30 minutes already
Simplify:





The usual speed was 500 hm/hr
Answer:
1/ (2×1)+(7×1/10)
2/ (6×1)+(3×1/10)+(5×1/100)
3/ (4×10)+(2×1)+(6×1/100)
4/ (4×100)+(3×1)+(7×1/10)+(2×1/100)