Something is certain to happen or informally, one would expect (predictable)
#1 is basically saying that we all have a soulmate out there and we should dedicate our lives to finding them
#2 is saying that you don't have to be rich or powerful to change the world, just be educated in some way
The correct answer is SHIFT.
In this excerpt, Churchill moves (or shifts) from speaking about the first four years of the last war (which were filled with "disaster and disappointment") to speaking about the morale of the Allies (which was high despite disappointment).
Churchill is not using understatement, which is describing something as smaller than it really is here. He is also not using logos, because he is not providing a logical argument to explain why the Allies would have such high morale despite disappointment. Finally, he is not using parallelism, because these ideas are all phrased differently.
There is no passage or image listed, sadly this question cannot be answered.