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kumpel [21]
2 years ago
13

Después de la pandemia y con la reactivaciòn de la economía peruana, ¿Qué oportunidades tienen los productores agrícolas de obte

ner un contrato forward?
Business
1 answer:
slega [8]2 years ago
7 0

Answer:

The answer to that question has a lot of unknown factors included. We can assume two different scenarios:

Scenario 1: the world's economy recovers completely in a relatively short amount of time. This would allow agricultural producers in Peru and the rest of the world to obtain forward contracts that are favorable to them.

Scenario 2: the world's economy doesn't recover fast enough. Since uncertainty would increase, so would the risk of future (forward) contract increase. When this happens, the weakest link suffers the most. in this case, the weakest link are the agricultural producers. The forward contracts would be carried out but the prices will be very low.

In Spanish:

Esta pregunta incluye muchos por si acasos que por el momento son totalmente inciertos. Podemos asumir 2 escenarios mundiales diferentes:

Escenario 1: la economía mundial se recupera rápidamente, lo que beneficiaría a los productores agrícolas peruanos (y de todo el mundo) ya que podrían obtener contratos de futuro muy favorables.  

Escenario 2: la economía mundial nos e recupera lo suficientemente rápido, lo que incrementa el riesgo y la incertidumbre de los contratos a futuro. Cuando el riesgo aumenta, quien lo paga es el eslabón mas débil y en este caso son los productores agrícolas. Van a existir contratos a futuro, pero los precios serían muy bajos.  

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