Answer:
4
Step-by-step explanation:
Given
, substitute the given values into the expression
= 
= 
= 
= 4
For a smoothing constant of 0.2
Time period – 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Actual value – 46 55 39 42 63 54 55 61 52
Forecast – 58 55.6 55.48 52.18 50.15 52.72 52.97 53.38 54.90
Forecast error - -12 -.6 -16.48 – 10.12 12.85 1.28 2.03 7.62 -2.9
The mean square error is 84.12
The mean forecast for period 11 is 54.38
For a smoothing constant of 0.8
Time period – 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Actual value – 46 55 39 42 63 54 55 61 52
Forecast – 58 48.40 53.68 41.94 41.99 58.80 54.96 54.99 59.80
Forecast error - -12 6.60 -14.68 0.06 21.01 -4.80 0.04 6.01 -7.80The mean square error is 107.17
The mean forecast for period 11 is 53.56
Based on the MSE, smoothing constant of .2 offers a better model since the mean forecast is much better compared to the 53.56 of the smoothing constant of 0.8.
Answer:
Dividing mixed numbers is very similar to multiplying mixed numbers. You just add one step—after changing the divisor into an improper fraction, you then find its reciprocal and multiply. ... First step: Write the whole number and the mixed number as improper fractions.
Step-by-step explanation:
