Is this the whole question?
Answer:
15.26%
Explanation:
Let the expected return if economy is normal be X
Expected return ; E(R) = SUM(probability. *return)
E(R) =15.1% OR 0.151 as a decimal
RECESSION: (probability. *return) = -0.08 * 0.02 = -0.0016
NORMAL: (probability. *return) = 0.87 *X = 0.87X
BOOM: (probability. *return) = 0.11 *0.18 = 0.0198
Next, sum the three returns and equate them to 0.151;
-0.0016 + 0.87X + 0.0198 = 0.151
0.87X + 0.0182 = 0.151
Subtract 0.0182 from both sides;
0.87X = 0.151 - 0.0182
0.87X = 0.1328
Divide both sides by 0.87 to solve for X;
X = 0.1526 as a decimal or 15.26%
Therefore, expected return if economy is normal is 15.26%
I would give it a solid 11/10 for sure
It’s the second to last; estimated
