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3 years ago

9

In 20 free throw attempts, Raul made 8. Based on this data, what is a reasonable estimate of the probability that Raul will make

his next free throw?

1 answer:

enot [183]3 years ago

4 0

Answer:

40%.

Step-by-step explanation:

Given that Raul made 8 of his 20 free throw attempts, it could be argued that he was 40% efficient on those free throws. This then 8/20 is equal to 0.40. Therefore, following this reasoning, it would be logical to say that Raul has a 40% chance of making his next shot, since that is his hitting percentage so far.

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Answer:

a) Null hypothesis: $\mu_A =\mu_B =\mu C$

Alternative hypothesis: $\mu_i \neq \mu_j, i,j=A,B,C$

$SS_{total}=\sum_{j=1}^p \sum_{i=1}^{n_j} (x_{ij}-\bar x)^2 =20.5$

$SS_{between}=SS_{model}=\sum_{j=1}^p n_j (\bar x_{j}-\bar x)^2 =12.333$

$SS_{within}=SS_{error}=\sum_{j=1}^p \sum_{i=1}^{n_j} (x_{ij}-\bar x_j)^2 =8.16667$

And we have this property

$SST=SS_{between}+SS_{within}$

The degrees of freedom for the numerator on this case is given by $df_{num}=df_{within}=k-1=3-1=2$ where k =3 represent the number of groups.

The degrees of freedom for the denominator on this case is given by $df_{den}=df_{between}=N-K=3*6-3=15$ .

And the total degrees of freedom would be $df=N-1=3*6 -1 =15$

The mean squares between groups are given by:

$MS_{between}= \frac{SS_{between}}{k-1}= \frac{12.333}{2}=6.166$

And the mean squares within are:

$MS_{within}= \frac{SS_{within}}{N-k}= \frac{8.1667}{15}=0.544$

And the F statistic is given by:

$F = \frac{MS_{betw}}{MS_{with}}= \frac{6.166}{0.544}= 11.326$

And the p value is given by:

$p_v= P(F_{2,15} >11.326) = 0.00105$

So then since the p value is lower then the significance level we have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis and we conclude that we have at least on mean different between the 3 groups.

b) $(\bar X_B -\bar X_C) \pm t_{\alpha/2} \sqrt{\frac{s^2_B}{n_B} +\frac{s^2_C}{n_C}}$

The degrees of freedom are given by:

$df = n_B +n_C -2= 6+6-2=10$

The confidence level is 99% so then $\alpha=1-0.99=0.01$ and $\alpha/2 =0.005$ and the critical value would be: $t_{\alpha/2}=3.169$

The confidence interval would be given by:

$(43.333 -41.5) - 3.169 \sqrt{\frac{0.6667}{6} +\frac{0.7}{6}}= 0.321$

$(43.333 -41.5) + 3.169 \sqrt{\frac{0.6667}{6} +\frac{0.7}{6}}=3.345$

Step-by-step explanation:

Previous concepts

Analysis of variance (ANOVA) "is used to analyze the differences among group means in a sample".

The sum of squares "is the sum of the square of variation, where variation is defined as the spread between each individual value and the grand mean"

Part a

Null hypothesis: $\mu_A =\mu_B =\mu C$

Alternative hypothesis: $\mu_i \neq \mu_j, i,j=A,B,C$

If we assume that we have $3$ groups and on each group from $j=1,\dots,6$ we have $6$ individuals on each group we can define the following formulas of variation:

$SS_{total}=\sum_{j=1}^p \sum_{i=1}^{n_j} (x_{ij}-\bar x)^2 =20.5$

$SS_{between}=SS_{model}=\sum_{j=1}^p n_j (\bar x_{j}-\bar x)^2 =12.333$

$SS_{within}=SS_{error}=\sum_{j=1}^p \sum_{i=1}^{n_j} (x_{ij}-\bar x_j)^2 =8.16667$

And we have this property

$SST=SS_{between}+SS_{within}$

The degrees of freedom for the numerator on this case is given by $df_{num}=df_{within}=k-1=3-1=2$ where k =3 represent the number of groups.

The degrees of freedom for the denominator on this case is given by $df_{den}=df_{between}=N-K=3*6-3=15$ .

And the total degrees of freedom would be $df=N-1=3*6 -1 =15$

The mean squares between groups are given by:

$MS_{between}= \frac{SS_{between}}{k-1}= \frac{12.333}{2}=6.166$

And the mean squares within are:

$MS_{within}= \frac{SS_{within}}{N-k}= \frac{8.1667}{15}=0.544$

And the F statistic is given by:

$F = \frac{MS_{betw}}{MS_{with}}= \frac{6.166}{0.544}= 11.326$

And the p value is given by:

$p_v= P(F_{2,15} >11.326) = 0.00105$

So then since the p value is lower then the significance level we have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis and we conclude that we have at least on mean different between the 3 groups.

Part b

For this case the confidence interval for the difference woud be given by:

$(\bar X_B -\bar X_C) \pm t_{\alpha/2} \sqrt{\frac{s^2_B}{n_B} +\frac{s^2_C}{n_C}}$

The degrees of freedom are given by:

$df = n_B +n_C -2= 6+6-2=10$

The confidence level is 99% so then $\alpha=1-0.99=0.01$ and $\alpha/2 =0.005$ and the critical value would be: $t_{\alpha/2}=3.169$

The confidence interval would be given by:

$(43.333 -41.5) - 3.169 \sqrt{\frac{0.6667}{6} +\frac{0.7}{6}}= 0.321$

$(43.333 -41.5) + 3.169 \sqrt{\frac{0.6667}{6} +\frac{0.7}{6}}=3.345$

7 0

3 years ago