Conduction: I would explain why I think so, but I think the answer itself explains why well enough so that I don't exactly have anything to add
Answer:
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Im 98% sure its the 3rd one... the other 2% im not that sure
Well part of the water cycle is evaporation which come from heat which you get from the sun. When the water evaporates it goes into clouds so then it can rain.
Hope this Helps