Question

Military radar and missile detection systems are designed to warn a country of an enemy attack. A reliability question is whether a detection system will be able to identify an attack and issue a warning. Assume that a particular detection system has a 0.80 probability of detecting a missile attack. Use the binomial probability distribution to answer the following questions. (a) What is the probability that a single detection system will detect an attack

Answer 1

Answer:

(a) Probability that a single detection system will detect an attack is 0.80

Step-by-step explanation:

We are given that a reliability question is whether a detection system will be able to identify an attack and issue a warning. Assuming that a particular detection system has a 0.80 probability of detecting a missile attack.

The above situation can be represented through Binomial distribution;

$P(X=r) = \binom{n}{r}p^{r} (1-p)^{n-r} ; x = 0,1,2,3,.....$

where, n = number of trials(samples) taken = 1 detection system

            r = number of success

            p = probability of success which in our question is probability of

                   detecting a missile attack, i.e., 80%

LET X = a particular detection system

Also, it is given that a single detection system is taken,

So, it means X ~ $Binom(n=1,p= 0.80)$

Now, Probability that a single detection system will detect an attack is given by = P(X = 1)  

  P(X = 1) = $\binom{1}{1}0.8^{1} (1-0.8)^{1-1}$

               = $1 \times 0.8 \times 1$ = 0.80 .

Answer 2

Answer:

0.8 is the probability that a single detection system will detect a missile attack.

Step-by-step explanation:

We are given the following information:

We treat detection a missile attack as a success.

P(detecting a missile attack) = 80% = 0.8

Then the number of missile attack follows a binomial distribution, where

$P(X=x) = \binom{n}{x}.p^x.(1-p)^{n-x}$

where n is the total number of observations, x is the number of success, p is the probability of success.

Now, we are given n = 1

We have to evaluate:

$P(x = 1)\\= \binom{1}{1}(0.8)^1(1-0.8)^0\\= 0.8$

0.8 is the probability that a single detection system will detect a missile attack.