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netineya [11]
3 years ago
8

Gun ownership Concerned about recent incidence of gun violence, a public interest group conducts a poll of 850 randomly selected

American adults and finds that 44% of those surveyed have a gun in their home.
a. Construct and interpret a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of all American adults who have a gun in their home.
b. Explain what is meant by 95% confidence in this context.
Mathematics
1 answer:
denis23 [38]3 years ago
5 0

Answer:

a.

The 95% confidence interval for the proportion of all American adults who have a gun in their home is (0.4066, 0.4734). This means that we are 95% sure that the true population proportions of American adults who have a gun in their home is between these two values.

b.

The confidence level is the probability of the confidence interval containing the population proportion.

Step-by-step explanation:

Question a:

In a sample with a number n of people surveyed with a probability of a success of \pi, and a confidence level of 1-\alpha, we have the following confidence interval of proportions.

\pi \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}

In which

z is the zscore that has a pvalue of 1 - \frac{\alpha}{2}.

Poll of 850 randomly selected American adults and finds that 44% of those surveyed have a gun in their home.

This means that n = 850, \pi = 0.44

95% confidence level

So \alpha = 0.05, z is the value of Z that has a pvalue of 1 - \frac{0.05}{2} = 0.975, so Z = 1.96.

The lower limit of this interval is:

\pi - z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}} = 0.44 - 1.96\sqrt{\frac{0.44*0.56}{850}} = 0.4066

The upper limit of this interval is:

\pi + z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}} = 0.44 + 1.96\sqrt{\frac{0.44*0.56}{850}} = 0.4734

The 95% confidence interval for the proportion of all American adults who have a gun in their home is (0.4066, 0.4734). This means that we are 95% sure that the true population proportions of American adults who have a gun in their home is between these two values.

b. Explain what is meant by 95% confidence in this context.

The confidence level is the probability of the confidence interval containing the population proportion.

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