The answer is the first one
The 2016 presidential election is already picking up speed as new candidates join the race and set out on their campaigns. Over the past decade, political discussions have migrated from water coolers and dinner tables to smartphones and social media. Here are just some of the ways technology has dramatically changed the race for the presidency in a short period of time
This is of course impossible to tell, but most agree that if the Articles of Confederation hadn't been replaced by the more powerful Constitution, the federal government wouldn't have had the power to tax the states and therefore wouldn't have been able to re-pay its war debt--causing the new nation to crumble.