I think it would be a drought.
The three nose configuration found on long nose pliers are NEEDLE, CHAIN AND ROUND
Long nose pliers may or may not have side cutters and they come in miniature and small sizes. Long nose pliers are designed for electrical work, it is used for cutting small wire gauges.
1) Variation: there needs to be a difference in the individuals within a population
2) Inheritance: These variable traits must be able to be passed down genetically
3) Growth rate: There needs to be a growth rate that requires a struggle for resources
4) Survival rate: There needs to be a difference in survival rate for the different variation types... certain variations will live