They are both not likely to be certain would be 100%, likely would be anywhere above 50%, and unlikely would be under 50%
Answer:
I'm not sure but I think it's the 2nd one
Explanation:
Since it says
“You’d think she’d be glad her daughter ain’t out there prancing around a May Pole getting the new clothes all dirty.”
It seems like the parent isn't so glad about their daughter not prancing around.
Hope this helps :)
Napoleon is always right :D