Question

Alex needs to catch a train. The train arrives randomly some time between $1:00$ and $2:00$, waits for $10$ minutes, and then leaves. If Alex also arrives randomly between $1:00$ and $2:00$, what is the probability that the train will be there when Alex arrives

Answer 1

The probability that the train will be there when Alex arrives is 5/18

If Alex arrives at any time after 1.20pm the chances that train will  be there is 1/3.

However  if alex arrives at 1.00pm exactly there is no chance the train will be arrive there.

The probability that the train will be there increase linearly to 1/3 as alex's arrival time moves from 1.00pm to 1.20pm.

By arranging the probabilities over the first 20 minutes to get a 1/6 chance the train will be there if alex arrives between 1.00pm to 1.20pm

we get the final answer by

=1/3( 1/6 + 1/3 + 1/3)

=5/18

So, the probability that the train will be there when Alex arrives is 5/18

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