It is known as the opening statement
I think it would be 50% because it could land on heads just as much as it lands on tails. its a even chance it could land on whichever it chooses to.
I believe that the correct match will be;
Prominences- A
Sunspots - B
Solar flares - C
Convection -D
Prominence is a large, bright feature extending outward from the Sun's surface. Prominences are anchored to the Sun's surface in the photosphere, and extend outwards into the Sun's hot outer atmosphere, called the corona.
Sunspots are darker, cooler areas on the surface of the sun in a region called the protosphere. Solar flares are large eruptions of electromagnetic radiation from the sun lasting from minutes to hours.