Question

Spanky, Alfalfa, and Buckwheat sit down to take a geography test that has 12 multiple-choice questions. Each question has three possible answers, of which only one is correct. Alfalfa, as usual, has been spending too much time daydreaming about Darla and has not properly studied for the exam. After looking it over, he discovers that he knows the answers to just five of the questions. So, he answers those questions correctly and randomly guesses on the remaining seven. Afterward, as Miss Crabtree is grading Alfalfa’s exam, she selects one question at random and finds that he answered it correctly. What is the exact probability that Alfalfa actually knew the answer to this question? Answer this question by completing the following parts:a. Carefully construct a correct tree diagram using the letters K for the event that he knows the answer to a question, N for the event that he doesn’t know the answer to a question, and C for the event that he answers a question correctly. Also, label each edge with its exact probability (as either a fraction or a whole number).b. Use the definition of conditional probability to compute the exact value of P(K|C), writing your answer as a fraction in simplified form.

Answer 1

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