15% off means 85% on so I would use .85x · 6 = total monthly cost to represent this problem. The dot represents times (I did not want to confuse things by using x)
An event has probability 1 if you're certain that it will happen. You are sure to pick a marble that's either yellow, green, red, or blue. So, this probability is 1.
There are more yellow marbles than blue marbles, so it's actually more likely that you'll pick a yellow one, rather than the blue one.
The probability of picking a green marble is given by the number of green marbles divided by the total number of marbles. Compute this ratio and see what you get.
Similarly, the probability of picking a black marble is given by the number of black marbles divided by the total number of marbles. There are no black marbles, so...