There is a new diagnostic test for a disease that occurs in about 0.05% of the population. The test is not perfect, but will det
1 answer:
Answer:
(a) P(D|TD) = 0.0162 and (b) P(ND|TD) = 0.9838
Step-by-step explanation:
Let's define the following events:
D: the person has the disease
ND: the person does not have the disease
TD: the test indicates the person has the disease. Then
P(D) = 0.0005 because the disease occurs in about 0.05% of the population.
P(ND) = 0.9995
P(TD|D) = 0.99 because the test detect a person with the disease 99% of the time.
P(TD|ND) = 0.03 because the test say that a person without the disease has the disease about 3% of the time.
We are looking for (a) P(D|TD) and (b) P(ND|TD)
By Bayes' formula
(a) =
0.0162
and
(b) = 0.9838
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Answer:
Step-by-step explanation:
Universal set
U = 500
The number that likes snickers
n(S) = 42
The number that like Twix.
n(T) = 110
The number that like Reeses
n(R) = 125
n(S n T) = 33
n(T n R) = 62
n(S n R) = 26
n( S n R n T) = 22
Then,
n(S n T) only = n(S n T) - n(S n R n T)
n(S n T) only =33 - 22 = 11
n(T n R) only = n(T n R) - n(S n R n T)
n(T n R) only =62 - 22 = 40
n(S n R) only = n(S n R) - n(S n R n T)
n(S n R) only =26 - 22 = 4.
Also,
n(S) only = n(S) - n(S n R) - n(S n T) only
n(S) only = 42 - 26 - 11 = 5
n(T) only = n(T) - n(T n R) - n(T n S) only
n(T) only = 110 - 62 - 11 = 37
n(R) only = n(R) - n(S n R) - n(R n T) only
n(R) only = 124 - 26 - 40 = 58
Then, to know if some student don't like any of the of chocolate,
Let know the number of students that like the chocolate candy
n(S) + n(T)only + n(T n R)only + n(R) only
42 + 37 + 40 + 58 = 177 students.
Therefore, the total students that like chocolate candy is 177, so those that does not like any of them are
n(S U R U T)' = U – n(S U R U T)
n(S U R U T) = 500 - 177 = 323.
So, the question is how many student likes at most 2 kinds of these chocolates, this means that they can like exactly 2 or less or even none.
So, this category are
n(2 most) = n(S n T)only + n(R n T)only + n(S n R)only + n(s)only + n(T)only + n(R)only + n(S U R U T)'
n(2 most) = 11 + 40 + 4 + 5 + 37 + 58 + 323
n(2 most) = 478
The correct answer is E.
Check attachment for Venn diagram
