Answer:
0.6808 = 68.08% probability that it will rain on at least 3 of the next 5 days.
0.9898 = 98.98% probability it will rain on at least 1 of the next 5 days.
0.84 = 84% probability it will rain on at least 1 of the next 2 days.
Step-by-step explanation:
For each day, there are only two possible outcomes. Either it rains, or it does not. The probability of raining on a day is independent of any other day. This means that the binomial probability distribution is used to solve this question.
Binomial probability distribution
The binomial probability is the probability of exactly x successes on n repeated trials, and X can only have two outcomes.
In which is the number of different combinations of x objects from a set of n elements, given by the following formula.
And p is the probability of X happening.
There is a 60% probability of rain each of the next 5 days.
This means that
Probability it will rain on at least 3 of the next 5 days:
This is:
In which
So
So
0.6808 = 68.08% probability that it will rain on at least 3 of the next 5 days.
Probability it will rain on at least 1 of the next 5 days:
This is:
From the above item, we have that . So
0.9898 = 98.98% probability it will rain on at least 1 of the next 5 days.
Probability it will rain on at least 1 of the next 2 days:
Two days means that .
The probability is:
In which
0.84 = 84% probability it will rain on at least 1 of the next 2 days.