Answer with Explanation:
The decision making under the conditions of uncertainty:
Uncertainty is an unquantifiable outcome of a decision that can not be mathematically modeled whereas risk is a quantifiable outcome of a decision that can be mathematically modeled.
The expected value method helps in decision making related to uncertainty are making prudent estimates of cash flow by using expected value.
Expected value considers every outcome under uncertainty and computes all of the expected value for each outcome. The outcome that gives highest expected value is said to be best case and likewise the outcome that gives lowest expected value is said to be worst case.
Suppose that two projects gives the same expected value, then the decision will be based on the degree of uncertainty which means the project that has lowest uncertainty of returns will be our choice.
The deviation of the expected value from required return on a project can be measured as a Degree of uncertainty that helps in understanding to what extent the return will be not as per the expectation. The Precise Measurement of uncertainty can be calculated by inclusion of standard deviation to estimate expected value of the decision taken.
The expected money value is the monetary value that a particular decision will generate. In expected monetary value the decision is based on the weighted average of best case and worst case. The value derived is average thus the standard deviation would be very low which means that the calculation was precise. Decision trees are used in precise measurement of cash flow related to each expected outcome and deriving a weighted average value.
Answer:
Quantitatively, Harlan Bikes is justified in deciding to close the department, but there are other qualitative factors that need to be considered which may result in the company loosing much more that they can save if the department is closed, such as for example a decrease in employee morale, a negative signalling effect to other stakeholders, a drop in sales in related products etc.
Explanation:
A decrease in employee morale can result especially if workers in other departments are no-longer sure about their future in the company, resulting from fears of their departments being closed. This can negatively affect productivity resulting in lower profits in other department.
A negative signalling effect means that other stakeholders such as investors and creditors may start questioning managements ability to profitably run the business, and the company will be perceived as more risky. Cost of debt and cost of equity capital for example, may go up, due to this higher perceived risk, and which may reduce the number of positive net present value projects that the company can undertake due to an increase in cost of capital.
If the company carries related products in other departments, it may also see a drop in sales in those sales, which will effectively reduced the savings that are estimated to be gained from closing the division.
Answer: A multiple product order
Explanation:
A multiple product order is an order by the regulating body (Federal Trade Commission) to curb and desist from deceptive advertising of not only the target product but all the products produced by a particular firm that is engaged in deceptive advertising. Such as in the case above, the order to CSI is not only to stop its false advertising of dirt remover but also other products produced by CSI
