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kipiarov [429]
3 years ago
14

Consider the following game: Roll a fair 6-sided die. You win if the result is greater than 4; otherwise, you lose. To play, you

must pay $4. If you win, you get $8; if you lose, the $4 fee is forfeited. What is the expected value for the amount gained/lost
Mathematics
1 answer:
dalvyx [7]3 years ago
4 0

Answer:

-$1.33 or lose $1.33

Step-by-step explanation:

In this game, there are two possible outcomes.

- There is a 2 in 6 chance (rolling a 5 or a 6) that you win $8.

- There is a 4 in 6 chance (rolling a 1, 2, 3 or a 4) that you win nothing.

Note that for any outcome, you start off paying $4 to play.

The expected value of this game is:

E(X) =\frac{2}{6} *\$8+\frac{4}{6}*\$0-\$4\\E(X) = -\$1.33

You are expected to lose $1.33 per play.

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(a) E(X) = -2p² + 2p + 2; d²/dp² E(X) at p = 1/2 is less than 0

(b) 6p⁴ - 12p³ + 3p² + 3p + 3; d²/dp² E(X) at p = 1/2 is less than 0

Step-by-step explanation:

(a) when i = 2, the expected number of played games will be:

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d²/dp² E(X) = d/dp (-4p + 2) = -4 which is less than 0. Therefore, the E(X) is maximized.

(b) when i = 3;

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Step-by-step explanation:

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