Question

Mr. Taylor filled out a bracket for the NCAA National Tournament. Based on his knowledge of college basketball, he has a 0.54 probability of guessing any one game correctly. (a) What is the probability Mr. Taylor will pick all 32 of the first round games correctly

Answer 1

Answer:

The probability is $2.7327 \times 10^{-9}$

Step-by-step explanation:

The probability of guessing correctly, P = 0.54

Probability of not guessing correctly, q = 1 – P  

q = 1 – 0.54 = 0.46

Number of trials, n = 32

Now calculate the probability that Mr. Taylor will pick 32 correctly in first round of the game.

Below is the calculation using binomial distribution.

$Probability = \left ( _{k}^{n}\textrm{} \right )P^{k}(1-P)^{(n-k)} \\= \left ( _{32}^{32}\textrm{} \right )0.54^{32}(0.46)^{(32-32)} \\= 0.54^{32} \\= 2.7327 \times 10^{-9}$