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MaRussiya [10]
2 years ago
14

According to the CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention), men who smoke are 23 times more likely to develop lung cancer

than men who don't smoke. Also according to the CDC, 21.6% of men in the U.S. smoke. What is the probability that a man in the U.S. is a smoker, given that he develops lung cancer?
Mathematics
1 answer:
Paladinen [302]2 years ago
8 0

Answer:4.968

Step-by-step explanation:

21.6 percent * 23

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Lostsunrise [7]

First,

tan(<em>θ</em>) = sin(<em>θ</em>) / cos(<em>θ</em>)

and given that 90° < <em>θ </em>< 180°, meaning <em>θ</em> lies in the second quadrant, we know that cos(<em>θ</em>) < 0. (We also then know the sign of sin(<em>θ</em>), but that won't be important.)

Dividing each part of the inequality by 2 tells us that 45° < <em>θ</em>/2 < 90°, so the half-angle falls in the first quadrant, which means both cos(<em>θ</em>/2) > 0 and sin(<em>θ</em>/2) > 0.

Now recall the half-angle identities,

cos²(<em>θ</em>/2) = (1 + cos(<em>θ</em>)) / 2

sin²(<em>θ</em>/2) = (1 - cos(<em>θ</em>)) / 2

and taking the positive square roots, we have

cos(<em>θ</em>/2) = √[(1 + cos(<em>θ</em>)) / 2]

sin(<em>θ</em>/2) = √[(1 - cos(<em>θ</em>)) / 2]

Then

tan(<em>θ</em>/2) = sin(<em>θ</em>/2) / cos(<em>θ</em>/2) = √[(1 - cos(<em>θ</em>)) / (1 + cos(<em>θ</em>))]

Notice how we don't need sin(<em>θ</em>) ?

Now, recall the Pythagorean identity:

cos²(<em>θ</em>) + sin²(<em>θ</em>) = 1

Dividing both sides by cos²(<em>θ</em>) gives

1 + tan²(<em>θ</em>) = 1/cos²(<em>θ</em>)

We know cos(<em>θ</em>) is negative, so solve for cos²(<em>θ</em>) and take the negative square root.

cos²(<em>θ</em>) = 1/(1 + tan²(<em>θ</em>))

cos(<em>θ</em>) = - 1/√[1 + tan²(<em>θ</em>)]

Plug in tan(<em>θ</em>) = - 12/5 and solve for cos(<em>θ</em>) :

cos(<em>θ</em>) = - 1/√[1 + (-12/5)²] = - 5/13

Finally, solve for sin(<em>θ</em>/2) and tan(<em>θ</em>/2) :

sin(<em>θ</em>/2) = √[(1 - (- 5/13)) / 2] = 3/√(13)

tan(<em>θ</em>/2) = √[(1 - (- 5/13)) / (1 + (- 5/13))] = 3/2

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