Question

There are three children in a family. a friend is told that at least two of them are boys. what is the probability that all three are boys? the friend is then told that the two are the oldest two children. now what is the probability that all three are boys? use bayes law to explain this. assume throughout that each child is independently either a boy or a girl with equal probability.

Answer 1

It would be 33.333333% Likely to be a boy or a girl.