I'm only adding a comment to second the answer offered by the other responder. The quotation marks give away how expert opinion is handled by this very tricky earth sciences problem. A contrary view is not expressed so the experts quoted are the only arguments presented and all are very hesitant to say anything other than what is couched in very conservative language. The point is that these things are hard to measure and when they are measured, they will take time to hit disaster mode.
It is important to understand your community for many different reasons. A few of these reasons would be finding ways to help out within the community. Another reason would be to maintain a safe community.
