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Reptile [31]
3 years ago
12

In an experiment, A,B, C, andD are events with probabilitiesP[A UB] = 5/8,P[A] =3/8,

Mathematics
1 answer:
BARSIC [14]3 years ago
7 0

Answer:

Step-by-step explanation:

Hello!

You have 4 events A, B, C and D

With probabilities:

P(A∪B)= 5/8

P(A)= 3/8

P(C∩D)= 1/3

P(C)= 1/2

A and B are disjoint events, this means that there are no shared elements between then and their intersection is void, symbolically A∩B= ∅, in consequence, these events are mutually exclusive.

C and D are independent events, this means that the occurrence of one of them does not affect the probability of occurrence of the other one in two consecutive repetitions.

a.

i. P(A∩B)= 0

⇒ Since A and B are disjoint events, the probability of their intersection is zero.

ii. A and B are mutually exclusive events, this means that P(A∪B)= P(A)+P(B)

⇒ From this expression, you can clear the probability of b as P(B)= P(A∪B)-P(A)= 5/8-3/8= 1/4

iii. If Bc is the complementary event of B, its probability would be P(Bc)= 1 - P(B)= 1 - 1/4= 3/4. If the events A and B are mutually exclusive and disjoint, it is logical to believe that so will be the events A and Bc, so their intersection will also be void:

P(A∩Bc)= 0

vi.P(A∪Bc)= P(A) + P(Bc)= 3/8+3/4= 9/8

b.

If A and B are independent then the probability of A is equal to the probability of A given B, symbolically:

P(A)= P(A/B)

P(A/B)= \frac{P(AnB)}{P(B)}= \frac{0}{1/4}= 0

P(A)= 3/8

P(A) ≠ P(A/B) ⇒ A and B are not independent.

c.

i. P(D) ⇒ Considering C and D are two independent events, then we know that P(C∩D)= P(C)*P(D)

Then you can clear the probability of D as:

P(D)= P(C∩D)/P(C)= (1/3)/(1/2)= 2/3

ii. If Dc is the complementary event of D, then its probability is P(Dc)= 1 - P(D) = 1 - 2/3= 1/3

P(C∩Dc)= P(C)*P(Dc)= (1/2)*(1/3)= 1/6

iii. Now Cc is the complementary event of C, its probability is P(Cc)= 1 - P(C)= 1 - 1/2= 1/2

P(Cc∩Dc)= P(Cc)*P(Dc)= (1/2)*(1/3)= 1/6

vi. and e.

P(C/D)= \frac{P(CnD)}{P(D)} = \frac{1/3}{2/3} = 1/2

P(C)=1/2

As you can see the P(C)=P(C/D) ⇒ This fact proves that the events C and D are independent.

d.

i. P(C∪D)= P(C) + P(D) - P(C∩D)= 1/2 + 2/3 - 1/3= 5/6

ii. P(C∪Dc)= P(C) + P(Dc) - P(C∩Dc)= 1/2 + 1/3 - 1/6= 2/3

I hope it helps!

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a. 0.1681 = 16.81% probability that all five qualify for the favorable rate.

b. 0.5283 = 52.83% probability that at least four qualify for the favorable rates

Step-by-step explanation:

For each Puerto Rico resident, there are only two possible outcomes. Either they qualify for discounted rates, or they do not. The probability of a person in the sample qualifying for discounted rates is independent of any other person in the sample. This means that the binomial probability distribution is used to solve this question.

Binomial probability distribution

The binomial probability is the probability of exactly x successes on n repeated trials, and X can only have two outcomes.

P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}

In which C_{n,x} is the number of different combinations of x objects from a set of n elements, given by the following formula.

C_{n,x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!}

And p is the probability of X happening.

70% of the island residents of Puerto Rico have reduced their electricity usage sufficiently to qualify for discounted rates.

This means that p = 0.7

Five residential subscribers are randomly selected from San Juan, Puerto Rico

This means that n = 5

a. All five qualify for the favorable rate

This is P(X = 5). So

P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}

P(X = 5) = C_{5,5}.(0.7)^{5}.(0.3)^{0} = 0.1681

0.1681 = 16.81% probability that all five qualify for the favorable rate.

b. At least four qualify for the favorable rates

This is

P(X \geq 4) = P(X = 4) + P(X = 5)

So

P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}

P(X = 4) = C_{5,4}.(0.7)^{4}.(0.3)^{1} = 0.3602

P(X = 5) = C_{5,5}.(0.7)^{5}.(0.3)^{0} = 0.1681

P(X \geq 4) = P(X = 4) + P(X = 5) = 0.3602 + 0.1681 = 0.5283

0.5283 = 52.83% probability that at least four qualify for the favorable rates

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