Answer:
99% confidence interval is wider as compared to the 80% confidence interval.
Step-by-step explanation:
We are given that a magazine provided results from a poll of 500 adults who were asked to identify their favorite pie.
Among the 500 respondents, 14% chose chocolate pie, and the margin of error was given as plus or minus ±3 percentage points.
The pivotal quantity for the confidence interval for the population proportion is given by;
P.Q. =
~ N(0,1)
where,
= sample proportion of adults who chose chocolate pie = 14%
n = sample of adults = 500
p = true proportion
Now, the 99% confidence interval for p = ![\hat p \pm Z_(_\frac{\alpha}{2}_) \times \sqrt{\frac{\hat p(1-\hat p)}{n} }](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=%5Chat%20p%20%5Cpm%20Z_%28_%5Cfrac%7B%5Calpha%7D%7B2%7D_%29%20%20%5Ctimes%20%5Csqrt%7B%5Cfrac%7B%5Chat%20p%281-%5Chat%20p%29%7D%7Bn%7D%20%7D)
Here,
= 1% so
= 0.5%. So, the critical value of z at 0.5% significance level is 2.5758.
Also, Margin of error =
= 0.03 for 99% interval.
<u>So, 99% confidence interval for p</u> = ![0.14 \pm2.5758 \times \sqrt{\frac{0.14(1-0.14)}{500} }](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=0.14%20%5Cpm2.5758%20%20%5Ctimes%20%5Csqrt%7B%5Cfrac%7B0.14%281-0.14%29%7D%7B500%7D%20%7D)
= [0.14 - 0.03 , 0.14 + 0.03]
= [0.11 , 0.17]
Similarly, <u>80% confidence interval for p</u> = ![0.14 \pm 1.2816 \times \sqrt{\frac{0.14(1-0.14)}{500} }](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=0.14%20%5Cpm%201.2816%20%20%5Ctimes%20%5Csqrt%7B%5Cfrac%7B0.14%281-0.14%29%7D%7B500%7D%20%7D)
Here,
= 20% so
= 10%. So, the critical value of z at 10% significance level is 1.2816.
Also, Margin of error =
= 0.02 for 80% interval.
So, <u>80% confidence interval for p</u> = [0.14 - 0.02 , 0.14 + 0.02]
= [0.12 , 0.16]
Now, as we can clearly see that 99% confidence interval is wider as compared to 80% confidence interval. This is because more the confidence level wider is the confidence interval and we are more confident about true population parameter.