Can you support your question by uploading a drawing?
The final probability is the weighted average of the playing probabilities calculated over the possible weather options:
P(john practices cello; given that it rains) * P(it rains) +
P(john practices cello; given that it does not rain) * P(it does not rain) =
0.6 * 0.7 + 0.4 * 0.3 = 0.54
The probability is 54%
4x4x4=64. Hope that helps
