Answer:
The probability that a woman in her 60s has breast cancer given that she gets a positive mammogram is 0.0276.
Step-by-step explanation:
Let a set be events that have occurred be denoted as:
S = {A₁, A₂, A₃,..., Aₙ}
The Bayes' theorem states that the conditional probability of an event, say <em>A</em>ₙ given that another event, say <em>X</em> has already occurred is given by:
The disease Breast cancer is being studied among women of age 60s.
Denote the events as follows:
<em>B</em> = a women in their 60s has breast cancer
+ = the mammograms detects the breast cancer
The information provided is:
Compute the value of P (B|+) using the Bayes' theorem as follows:
Thus, the probability that a woman in her 60s has breast cancer given that she gets a positive mammogram is 0.0276.