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Kobotan [32]
4 years ago
9

Mr. and Mrs. Doran have a genetic history such that the probability that a child being born to them with a certain trait is 85%.

If they have four children, what is the probability that exactly one of their four children will have that trait? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.
Mathematics
1 answer:
GREYUIT [131]4 years ago
6 0

Answer:

the probability that exactly one of their four children will have that trait is 0.287%

Step-by-step explanation:

Given;

The probability that a child born to them have a particular trait is

P = 85% = 0.85

The probability that a child born to them will not have a particular trait is

P' = 1 - P = 1-0.85 = 0.15

The probability that exactly one of four children have the trait is:

P(1) = P × P' × P' × P'

P(1) = 0.85 × 0.15 × 0.15 × 0.15

P(1) = 0.00286875

P(1) = 0.287 %

the probability that exactly one of their four children will have that trait is 0.287%

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Answer:

a) With a confidence level of 98%, the percentage of all males who identify themselves as the primary grocery shopper are between 0.4962 and 0.5438.

b) The lower limit of the confidence interval is higher that 0.43, so if he conduct a hypothesis test, he will find that the data shows evidence to said that the fraction is higher than 43%.

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If np' and n(1-p') are higher than 5, a confidence interval for the proportion is calculated as:

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Where p' is the proportion of the sample, n is the size of the sample, p is the proportion of the population and z_{\alpha/2} is the z-value that let a probability of \alpha/2 on the right tail.

Then, a 98% confidence interval for the percentage of all males who identify themselves as the primary grocery shopper can be calculated replacing p' by 0.52, n by 2400, \alpha by 0.02 and z_{\alpha/2} by 2.33

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0.52-2.33\sqrt{\frac{0.52(1-0.52)}{2400} }\leq  p\leq 0.52+2.33\sqrt{\frac{0.52(1-0.52)}{2400} }\\0.52-0.0238\leq p\leq 0.52+0.0238\\0.4962\leq p\leq 0.5438

With a confidence level of 98%, the percentage of all males who identify themselves as the primary grocery shopper are between 0.4962 and 0.5438.

The lower limit of the confidence interval is higher that 0.43, so if he conduct a hypothesis test, he will find that the data shows evidence to said that the fraction is higher than 43%.

Finally, the level of significance is the probability to reject the null hypothesis given that the null hypothesis is true. It is also the complement of the level of confidence. So, if we create a 98% confidence interval, the level of confidence 1-\alpha is equal to 98%

It means the the level of significance \alpha is:

\alpha =1-0.98=0.02

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