Question

One of the questions Rasmussen Reports included on a 2018 survey of 2,500 likely voters asked if the country is headed in right direction. Representative data are shown in the DATAfile named Right Direction. A response of Yes indicates that the respondent does think the country is headed in the right direction. A response of No indicates that the respondent does not think the country is headed in the right direction. Respondents may also give a response of Not Sure.
(a) What is the point estimate of the proportion of the population of respondents who do think that the country is headed in the right direction?
(b) At 95% confidence, what is the margin of error for the proportion of respondents who do think that the country is headed in the right direction?
(c) What is the 95% confidence interval for the proportion of respondents who do think that the country is headed in the right direction?
(d) What is the 95% confidence interval for the proportion of respondents who do not think that the country is headed in the right direction?
(e) Which of the confidence intervals in parts (c) and (d) has the smaller margin of error? Why?
The confidence interval in part (c) has a (Smaller or Larger) margin of error than the confidence interval in part (d). This is because the sample proportion of respondents who do think that the country is headed in the right direction is (closer to .5 / closer to 1 / farther from .5 / farther from 1) than the sample proportion of respondents who do not think that the country is headed in the right direction.
Dataset:
553 - No
70 - Not Sure
384 - Yes

Answer 1

Answer:

Kindly check explanation

Step-by-step explanation:

Given the data:

553 - No

70 - Not Sure

384 - Yes

Total = (553 + 70 + 384) = 1007

Proportion who do think country is headed in the right direction :

P = yes / total = 384/1007 = 0.381

b.) Error margin at 95%

Margin of Error = Zcritical * √p(1-p)/n

1-p = 1 - 0.381 = 0.619

Zcritical at 95% = 1.96

Margin of error = 1.96 * √0.381(0.619)/1007

Margin of error = 0.030

C.)

95% confidence interval for heading in the right direction:

P ± margin of error

P ± 0.030

Lower boundary = 0.381 - 0.030 = 0.351

Upper boundary = 0.381 + 0.030 = 0.411

(0.351 ; 0.411)

D.)

Confidence interval for people who don't think :

P = 553 / 1007 = 0.549

Confidence interval = P ± margin of error

Error margin at 95%

Margin of Error = Zcritical * √p(1-p)/n

1-p = 1 - 0.549 = 0.451

Zcritical at 95% = 1.96

Margin of error = 1.96 * √0.549(0.451)/1007

Margin of error = 0.031

P ± margin of error

P ± 0.031

Lower boundary = 0.549 - 0.031 = 0.518

Upper boundary = 0.549 + 0.031 = 0.580

(0.518 ; 0.580)

E.)

The interval with smaller error margin is ; 0.030 (those who think country is headed in the right direction because sample proportion is farther from .5 / farther from 1)